CarwilBJ's avatarCarwilBJ's Twitter Archive—№ 38,065

  1. Current projection: Harris down 6.4m votes from Biden 2020 Trump up 3.7m votes from 2020 Total turnout down 2.7m votes from 2020 More granular work needed to estimate D -> nonvoter, D -> R, nonvoter -> R but it's quite possible that Biden-to-couch is the largest bloc. x.com/NateSilver538/status/1856331742392545748