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Instead of thinking about voters who switched, we need to think about communities that were soured on the Democrats, and different ones that were activated by Trump.
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Unfortunately, we can't do the math for the latter until all of the votes are in. Be cautious about analyses written before that evidence is in.
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De-motivated urban voters are getting some press attention, but likely not enough. x.com/CarwilBJ/status/1856352632690094276

