-
Nearly three weeks into a blockade campaign by Evo Morales' faction of the MAS party, Bolivian President Luis Arce has activated the military to join police in clearing the roads.
-
Road blockades are an incredibly powerful political tool in Bolivia, and operate by interrupting economic life, transforming discontent into crisis.
-
Effectively organized blockade campaigns alternate with other shows of mass support, building a broader coalition and giving the region a break to refuel and transport food.
-
This blockade campaign, though, has not widened Evo's political coalition, but instead activated many, especially urban residents and those with stranded goods, against him.
-
A broad range of actors from poultry farmers to shopkeepers to factory workers to mayors to the far right are all calling on Morales to stand down from blockades.
-
Yesterday, Evo Morales called on Arce's cabinet and public officials to resign in solidarity with him. This appears not to be happening.
-
There have been several episodes of gunfire and many police/protesters confrontations with injuries already. Crowds have sacked the coca growers headquarters and taken over a Chapare airport. Tension is high.
-
Past militarized blockade clearing operations have quelled local blockade campaigns without deadly violence. But other deployments have initiated massacres.
-
There are multiple reasons to fear violent escalation today, and multiple actors beyond Morales and Arce involved. All eyes on what may be a pivotal weekend.