CarwilBJ's avatarCarwilBJ's Twitter Archive—№ 37,281

  1. As President Luis Arce nears the four-year mark, political violence in Bolivia looks very different than prior presidential administrations…
    oh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their API
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    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      Not relevant to the analysis I've posted here, but this chart isn't strictly fair b/c Bolivian presidents had diff terms… Gonzalo Sánchez de Lozada's 2nd presidency was 14 months; Evo Morales served for 14 years. Very different intensities of violence look similar here.
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      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        The data expressed in terms of annual rates looks like this instead. (Interim military government & Jeanine Áñez combined in this chart as "Right interim")
        oh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their API
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    2. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      As this chart shows, state participation in political violence has been minimal under Arce. Only two people have been killed in sociopolitical conflicts by security forces, a jailed official who died after mistreatment and a protester wounded by a less-lethal munition.
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      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        Only one presidency saw less lethal violence by Bolivian security forces since 1982: Eduardo Rodríguez's eight-month interim government.
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        1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
          Still, the overall death toll has averaged 11 per year, in the middle of the pack for Bolivian presidents under democracy.
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          1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
            The yellow indicates violence separate from the state, largely internecine conflicts among claimants to rural land, and between miners and locals, and an unfortunate stampede in student elections.
            oh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their API
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            1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
              Still, four of the deaths took place in the context of partisan, left–right confrontations, a seeming reprise of the catastrophic stalemate of 2006-09 and the violence between the 2019 election and Evo Morales's resignation.
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              1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
                All three of the deaths of state security forces came in instances where the Arce government intervened to stop violence between conflicting communities of its own supporters, in conflicts over coca union leadership in Apolo, over mining in Sorata and El Torno.
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