CarwilBJ's avatarCarwilBJ's Twitter Archive—№ 33,614

      1. A fairly standard prediction from analysts around Santa Cruz: that the city and department are the next political center of Bolivia. This argument has been made continuously over the past two decades, but has little traction at the polls. @Maison_Strod/1614990993337782273
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    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      There's no obvious way to extend the Cruceño economic model of large-scale agroexport to the highlands. The land of imported tractors doesn't need an industrial proletariat. Neoliberalism, cited here, remains a toxic term for many Bolivian voters.
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  1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
    Luis Fernando Camacho was able to handily win governor of Santa Cruz but his 2020 presidential bid attracted only 14% nationwide. A stronger effort back by Snata Cruz but fronted by Manfred Reyes Villa got 25%
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    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      The clear lesson of the 2019 election, where Carlos Mesa cleared 35%, is that the right's best hope is to offer social democratic policies without the MAS partisanship. And for some right wing voters go fall in line.
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