CarwilBJ's avatarCarwilBJ's Twitter Archive—№ 33,468

  1. Bolivian prosecutors sought 6 months of preventative detention of Luis Fernando Camacho, promising a series of investigative steps during that time. The steps listed suggest a genuine attempt to unravel the knot of coordination among the Civic movement, military, police mutiny. @FreddyteleSUR/1608560056974426114
    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      If carried through, they would document the formation of a Civic–Military–Police alliance during early November, and coordination hubs for it, both prior to Morales' fall and during the Nov 10–12 interregnum (per the charging documents filed by the Fiscalía).
      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        Specifically, the document promises to subpoena: the police and military high commands, leaders of the UTOP anti-riot police, figures at hotels HQs maintained by Camacho and allies; remaining military principals with outstanding subpoenas.
        1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
          Other evidence would include forensic investigations of UTOPs and "triangulation of calls among those under investigation" at these various sites.
          1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
            Other than to interview Camacho, who has termed the investigation illegitimate, the proposed steps do not require Camacho to be behind bars. Whether his arrest was legally warranted, or politically wise, are separate questions from investigating this conspiring.
            1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
              As I've argued since December 2020, the core question remains: "to what extent was a unified planning process (what we might call a coup plot) at the heart of this political transition?" woborders.blog/2021/06/20/tick-tock-coverage-of-the-overthrow-of-evo-morales-what-we-know-now/
              1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
                In the maximal version advanced by Bolivian prosecutors, a coordinated effort simultaneously stripped Bolivian public facilities of police protection, neutralized the armed forces, and put public officials in danger, prompted the resignations. But…
                1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
                  This coincides with the well-established Bolivian tradition of officials including the president resigning when mass protests demonstrate a public lack of confidence in them.
                  1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
                    The Golpe de Estado I investigation, which deals with events up to November 10 takes place during the overlap between these explanations for Morales' fall.
                    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
                      If it is to be something other than criminalization of protest, it must carefully define what is and is not illegitimate. This would be much easier if the MAS-IPSP would say that protest itself was legitimate, but some acts (such as the police mutiny, the massacres) were not.
                      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
                        IMHO, these judicial filings and the conviction of Jeanine Áñez have not criminalized protest per se. But drawing this distinction has not been a public priority of the government.