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@NateSilver538 Oh dear, Nathan. Your core work is about correlated and uncorrelated probabilities. 1. Exogenous threats that are location based (earthquake, missile, tsunami) affect multiple reactor units in the same plant. 2. We came damn close to two unit failures at Chernobyl.Permalink On twitter.com
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@NateSilver538 Previous image from Midnight in Chernobyl. Also International Nuclear Safety Advisory Group: "The main challenges were to prevent the fire from spreading to unit 3, to localize the fire on the roof of the common machine hall of units 3 and 4."Permalink On twitter.com
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@NateSilver538 I mean, come on @NateSilver538, correlated failures is kinda your lane. fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-why-our-model-is-more-bullish-than-others-on-trump/On twitter.com