CarwilBJ's avatarCarwilBJ's Twitter Archive—№ 32,429

          1. The Major Questions doctrine behind today's #SCOTUSvsEPA decision is a disaster primarily because it kicks vital decisions to a filibuster-proof Senate supermajority.
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        1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
          Because of geography and gerrymandering, Democrats need a 5% advantage to win half of the Senate and a 3.5% advantage to win half the House. fivethirtyeight.com/features/advantage-gop/
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      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        "Republican senators have not represented a majority of the population since 1999 — yet, from 2003 to 2007 and again from 2015 to 2021, Republicans had a majority of members of the Senate itself."
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    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      To win a filibuster-proof majority, Democrats need to have a 13% victory (averaged over three elections). Equivalently, the typical swing supermajority achieving Senator right now is from Texas. fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-senates-rural-skew-makes-it-very-hard-for-democrats-to-win-the-supreme-court/
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  1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
    Abolishing the filibuster is the obvious way out of this trap, although that still leaves Democrats with a 5% disadvantage in achieving a bare majority.
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