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Reviewing the Bolivian political standoffs of 2006–09 and 2019, it seems to me that partisan movements help their cause by winning unarmed confrontations but can tank their cause by winning armed confrontations.
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Or alternatively that claiming physical space against one's opponents is valuable, while imposing injuries, deaths, and humiliations is something of a liability.
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(I'm aware of the danger that one sees patterns in history that are more wish fulfillment than perceptive insight, but follow me here for a minute.)
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Thread continues… @CarwilBJ/1482053796377333765 (sorry for the split end)