CarwilBJ’s avatarCarwilBJ’s Twitter Archive—№ 29,875

    1. Entirely serious observers like @ScottGottliebMD can see a "decoupling" of COVID cases and hospitalization at the beginning of each major wave. Fits with positive narratives around vaccines, but also a cognitive bias that lagging indicators won't show up this time.
      oh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their APIoh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their API
  1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
    This amounts to "lots of rain but no signs of flooding yet" reporting. Maybe we can do better... Treat coupled cases and deaths as a null hypothesis. Not read into early signs of lagging índicators. Insist on a statistical measure of decoupling, and not rely on our hopes.