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Nashville just updated COVID numbers after a seven-day holiday break. If you are making decisions based on risk level, be advised that we're at numbers close to the January peak.Permalink On twitter.com
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Since at-home tests don't report, these later numbers are a relative undercount compared to last year. The Omicron trajectory is rising rapidly, plus tests lag a few days, so today is also worse than the average of the last seven days.Permalink On twitter.com
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Cases are disportionately in unvaccinated people. So for unvaccinated folks (especially with unvaccinated networks around them), this means that today is the riskiest day for you of the pandemic.Permalink On twitter.com
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For vaccinated but not boosted folks, you can multiply your risk of infection by 0.6 (give or take). For vaccinated and boosted folks, it looks like you can multiply your risk by 0.25 (give or take). Knock off a bit more if hospitalization and worse is your main concern.Permalink On twitter.com
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Either way, there may come a day when this wave gets as dangerous (on a risk of infection basis) to vaccinated & boosted folks as the worst days of January.Permalink On twitter.com
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NYC, DC, and Miami have 3.5x our current case rates. If we get there, the increased chance of infection cancels out the increased protection from the vaccine.On twitter.com