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@oddNihilist All three parties have made tactical shifts that increase injuries/risk of death: –Police moving to remove blockades –Civicos intent on clearing campesinos from urban space –Pro-MAS protesters attempting to break up blockades woborders.blog/2021/11/10/basilio-titi-potosi/
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@oddNihilist Given the numbers involved, none of these tactics has a credible chance of victory in this conflict. Far better for each side to try to outlast their opponents, the modal strategy during 2006-09.
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@oddNihilist The civic movement strategies seems to be to escalate every sectoral conflict over some law into a nationwide strike over many laws plus a 2/3 supermajority for the plurinational legislature.
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@oddNihilist But there's no reason for the MAS-IPSP to ever give in on that larger demand. It invites a replay of the Constituent Assembly, where a 2/3 supermajority requirement paralyzed any progress for a whole year.