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Bolivia's Movement Towards Socialism faces serious competition in departmental, regional, and municipal elections on March 7. Likely, it will win the most seats, but lose some major contests, just as it did in 2010, 2015.On twitter.com
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The Movement Towards Socialism has been the leading, but not a dominating political force in such elections over the last decade. In 2015, MAS elected 227 mayors out of 339 municipalities, but only two in the 10 largest cities.Permalink On twitter.com
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The MAS won 41.8% of the vote for governor in 2015, and held six of nine departments, but was outflanked by a center-left alliance in La Paz and by right-leaning forces in Santa Cruz, Tarija.Permalink On twitter.com
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It narrowly survived and/or suppressed grassroots movement defections to third parties in Chuquisaca and Beni.Permalink On twitter.com
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Key characteristics of the subnational elections: multiple left-leaning and indigenous parties, unexpected alliances, late-breaking disqualifications, long political careers, and more competition (on average) in urban than rural contests.Permalink On twitter.com
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Only the MAS-IPSP can contest every municipality, and it will run unopposed in 28 municipalities, and have just one opponent in 65 more.Permalink On twitter.com
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However, there are several political parties working to expand their regional pull more broadly through these elections (MTS, CC), and other nearly worn-out political forces (FPV, UCS) that have a national infrastructure.Permalink On twitter.com
