CarwilBJ’s avatarCarwilBJ’s Twitter Archive—№ 26,515

        1. …in reply to @oddNihilist
          @oddNihilist In this thread, I've followed up on your US analogies, while saying I don't think the situations are the same.
      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        @oddNihilist I'm very concerned with potentially dangerous policy choices from the new MAS-IPSP government, primarily in decrees and budget plans. These were executive actions or majority legislation already.
    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      @oddNihilist Legislatively, such things could be obstructed if (and only if) MAS legislators regain the willingness to challenge the executive and to be "free thinkers" again. e.g., woborders.blog/2012/01/18/indigenous-bloc/
  1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
    @oddNihilist There is some potential that the shaken snow globe of MAS partisans will be less attached to a singular party leader, and the public endorsement of an organic model, the Political Instrument, before the partisan model contributes to that.
    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      @oddNihilist But what we should all know is that, in Bolivia, the really successful objection to executive overreach happens in the streets (and occasionally in referenda): witness the gasolinazo, TIPNIS, the Potosí strikes, etc.
      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        @oddNihilist There will be early signals about the Arce-Choquehuanca government's commitment to separation of powers, and IMHO, those will be far more important than the marginal legislative changes made this week.
        1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
          @oddNihilist Because of 2006-2008 and 2019-2020, MAS legislators have a credible fear of overreach by the parliamentary opposition. Some of their people are still in jail.
          1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
            @oddNihilist But yes, I agree that neither these changes, nor Mesa's speedy call for constitutional interventions and a boycott of the inauguration, are signs of a speedy inter-party thaw in Bolivian politics.
            1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
              @oddNihilist On the other hand, the presence of former MAS dissidents in the CC's legislative delegation does present the possibility of bipartisan cooperation over the longer term.
              1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
                @oddNihilist And here is where the US analogy is useful: the obstacle to bipartisan collaboration is not the rules of the legislature, but rather the centralization and hyperpartisanship within the political parties. (Some of which may be justified.)