CarwilBJ’s avatarCarwilBJ’s Twitter Archive—№ 26,292

  1. We finally have an exit poll: CiesMori predicts Arce/MAS 52% to Mesa/CC 31%. If accurate (BIG if) this is a huge MAS win far in excess of the polls and the threshold to avoid a runoff. paginasiete.bo/nacional/2020/10/18/segun-ciesmori-el-mas-gana-con-el-52-cc-se-queda-con-31-272025.html
    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      Exit poll based on actual results in 269 polling places in 63 of Bolivia's 70 legislative districts. Details here: erbol.com.bo/el-%C3%A1nfora-1/conteo-de-ciesmori-proyecta-victoria-de-luis-arce-en-primera-vuelta
      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        It's a 2% sample of the national vote, but strategically chosen, unlike the highly unrepresentative 5% of the vote that has reported so far.