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Despite controlling the state, several hundred indictments of MAS officials, two massacres, and 70,000 troops deployed to the streets, the Bolivian hard right could neither deter MAS voters nor displace Carlos Mesa. @CarwilBJ/1317290989153898496Permalink On twitter.com
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Eleven and a half months of minority rule seem set to change the vote count by less than 5% for the two largest parties, which is a pretty dramatic failure for Áñez and Camacho.Permalink On twitter.com
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Camacho could lead a regional party with some influence over a President Mesa, or near-total exile from a President Arce. Áñez will face retirement and calls for justice about the massacres of November 2019.Permalink On twitter.com
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It's not that these forces didn't seize power fairly dramatically, and try to wield it in authoritarian ways. Rather, the balance of power between state and society favors the latter in Bolivia in ways I don't think I fully realized.Permalink On twitter.com
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For reference, here's the final polling overview... wp.me/pcFxY-16UOn twitter.com