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@jderpic @PepinaSediciosa @TSEBolivia @tse @opsoms @pahowho Look, these models aren't for election planning or sports scheduling or whatever. They are meant to advise health systems on whether their hospitals will collapse next month or not.Permalink On twitter.com
Mood -2 🙁
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@jderpic @PepinaSediciosa @TSEBolivia @tse @opsoms @pahowho If you run a weather forecast program it will give you predictions for 2 weeks, 2 months, or 2 years from now. But anything over ten days is not better than chance variation around the seasonal climate. So you don't use weather forecasts to decide on next month's baseball games.Permalink On twitter.com
Mood 0
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@jderpic @PepinaSediciosa @TSEBolivia @tse @opsoms @pahowho My prior is that elections are better sooner than later. If there's a clear covid-related reason to override that, great. The April quarantine definitely qualified.On twitter.com
Mood +6 🙂