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@ViscidKonrad @thomascfield @tomlongphd @OAS_official @cepr_org @JakobJohnston I guess I have three questions: 1) Regarding the graph: Since the graph is a cumulative average, is there any late breaking data that would change the final result by 1 to 2.5% (as alleged) that would make the graph *not* look reasonable.Permalink On twitter.com
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@ViscidKonrad @thomascfield @tomlongphd @OAS_official @cepr_org @JakobJohnston 2) Where do you differ from Diego Escobari's published analysis (taking the municipality level as the reasonable one)? See @CarwilBJ/1199118042153619456On twitter.com
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@ViscidKonrad @thomascfield @tomlongphd @OAS_official @cepr_org @JakobJohnston 3) The OAS report argues that a late-counted, late-timestamped 5% of the vote is statistically different than the rest of the sample, but your analysis focused on the final 17%. If you re-run your analysis around those 5%, what results do you get?Permalink On twitter.com