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#BoliviaEnCrisis It's very tempting to believe a single actor foresaw all the events of November 8-12 in Bolivia. Whether Camacho, Morales, or Langley. But also possible that a convergence of fearful choices led to a disaster.
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Why did an inexperienced junior senator with no mandate get empowered to lead a disastrous #coup, unleashing the deadliest month in 15 years in Bolivian politics?
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Did someone in the civic movement set her up? Work out a deal with those in the military who craved a crackdown?
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- or - Who thought a quick transition would de-escalate an increasingly deadly confrontation on November 10?
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- or - Who thought confirming someone, any civilian at all, was preferable to prolonging interim military rule and nightly violence on November 12?
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My brain wants a narrative to be there. A smart villain who saw it all before. And journalists and historians should investigate who coordinated with whom? Who took advantage of this moment?
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But we also have to reckon with the real consequences of fear, urgency, distrust, violence, and reactions to violence that led people to act without considering the worst-case scenario that could emerge.