CarwilBJ’s Twitter Archive—№ 21,766

…in reply to @samwisehawkins
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot A: Reactions to the Plurinational Constitutional Tribunal's pro-Evo ruling followed six years of controversy about the legitimacy of judicial appointments. @kevinmcashman/1193703921220407296
Permalink On twitter.com ❤️ 3 Favorites 2019 Nov 13 Mood -2 🙁

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot Both Evo (on the Monday night) and Mesa (on the Sunday night) anticipated the results of the vote count. @kevinmcashman/1193703926542958596
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood 0

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot Evo's statement that he had already achieved a victory struck people as signalling he knew the outcome. Which felt plausible given prior concerns about the partiality of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal.
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood +6 🙂

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot Historically, the rural vote has reported later and Mark Weisbrot reasonably assumed it would still be the case. But 2/3 of the post-pause vote was urban. @kevinmcashman/1193703938899374080
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood 0

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot Sorry, here's the citation for that claim: paginasiete.bo/nacional/2019/11/10/casi-tercios-de-votos-que-faltaban-por-contar-tras-el-corte-del-trep-eran-urbanos-236944.html#&gid=1&pid=1
Permalink On twitter.com ❤️ 2 Favorites 2019 Nov 13 Mood -1 🙁

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot The final result was indeed within the polling margin of error. Conclusion: we need evidence or admission of vote manipulation. @kevinmcashman/1193703940296073221
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood -3 🙁

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot Statistical evidence of this is what the OAS audit report lays out. A signal showing 5% of the vote was loaded in after an extended delay. And analysis of how those votes were different.
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood -1 🙁

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot Meanwhile, the TREP server team declared that the TSE president ordered them to halt their work *because of the vote tendency* and then cut off their internet.
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood -1 🙁

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot As of Monday/Tuesday, the TSE president's lawyer has confirmed those facts on her behalf.
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood 0

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot The OAS (and previously the firm Ethical Hacking) identified an unauthorized server communicating vote information behind the scenes. They recommended criminal investigation of this.
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood +1 🙂

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot Some of the TREP data (around 350k voters worth) was injected directly into the official count to replace missing ballots. Another 105k votes from Argentina is riddled with over-votes (more votes than registered voters).
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood 0

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot This notion that the media just ran away with a minor statistical anomaly is a figment of not reading the Bolivian press. @kevinmcashman/1193703941201989633
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood 0

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot There was near-daily coverage of statistical concerns, miscounted ballots, electoral official resignations, and a few admissions of irregularities by knowledgeable parties.
Permalink On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood 0

…in reply to @CarwilBJ
@samwisehawkins @MarkWeisbrot It's true that people suspected fraud before the election started. And that the 23-hour freeze of TREP fueled suspicion. But that meant that thousands of Bolivians were searching for evidence, and they turned up some valid problems.
On twitter.com 2019 Nov 13 Mood -5 🙁