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@jmichaeleugenio The OAS' audit report strikes me as compelling. It doesn't just speak to statistical likelihood of fraud, but the electronic and other means to carry it.Permalink On twitter.com
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@jmichaeleugenio Re the statistical analysis: the red flag is that the final 5% had a different time signature for its approval, and varied in a highly anomalous way.Permalink On twitter.com
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@jmichaeleugenio Specifically, Evo Morales got 60.5% (15% more than the rest of the sample) and Mesa got 23.8% (15% less). If Evo was doing better in some areas, we would expect other candidates to lose some of their votes. They didn't.On twitter.com
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@jmichaeleugenio This is the kind of signature you would have if someone was surreptitiously transfering votes from Mesa to Evo. And that was possible because (1) there was an unknown server in the data loop; and (2) there were no paper backups for 350k votes.Permalink On twitter.com
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@jmichaeleugenio Another hundred thousand people voted in Argentina. The OAS found that in 38% of the tally sheets they sampled, there were more vote than registered voters. And there, the MAS margin was extreme.Permalink On twitter.com
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@jmichaeleugenio All these quantitative arguments seem reasonable, and comport with the resignations of the technology staff, two members of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, and numerous departmental electoral officials. correodelsur.com/politica/20190621_tse-mas-funcionarios-dan-un-paso-al-costado.htmlPermalink On twitter.com