CarwilBJ's avatarCarwilBJ's Twitter Archive—№ 21,242

            1. Bolivia election data: Evo Morales' MAS-IPSP lost presidential support across the board, down 15.9% from 2016, and lower in every department. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
              oh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their API
          1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
            The sharpest losses for the governing party came in Chuquisaca, Potosí, and Oruro. P & O are traditional sources of strength for the MAS-IPSP, but have been fading for nearly a decade. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
        1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
          La Paz department fell away from the MAS-IPSP slightly more than the national average. Santa Cruz slightly less. But both matter the most for vote total. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        Most of Evo Morales' vote loss since 2014 was already baked in when he sought to amend the constitution to allow his re-election in 2016. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      Not only did Morales lose the 2016 referendum, he proved unable to recover the votes of people who voted "no" in this week's election. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
      oh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their API
  1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
    On balance, 72-80% of the decline in Morales vote share happened by the time of the 2016 referendum. The additional decline was between 3 and 5 percent of the national vote. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      While there has been much talk of the #BoliviaFires impacting the election, the Santa Cruz region broke against Evo Morales only slightly more than the country as a whole since 2016. Two thirds of their shift was baked in before. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        The big surprise is Carlos Mesa was able to attract so much of the left-right coalition that opposed Morales in the 2016 election. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
        1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
          No left-wing opponent gathered significant votes on Sunday, but many left-leaning voters must have voted for Mesa (assuming they didn't vote for the far-right candidates). Felix Patzi got 1%+. #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
          1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
            Among the right-wing candidates, Oscar Ortiz has already endorsed Carlos Mesa in the runoff. lostiempos.com/actualidad/pais/20191020/ortiz-apoyamos-carlos-mesa-ninguna-condicion #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019
            1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
              The right-wing Christian Chi Hyun Chung has said he will negotiate with Mesa, but not Morales on a possible endorsement. erbol.com.bo/nacional/chi-le-ofrece-negociaci%C3%B3n-mesa-y-dice-que-con-evo-no-tiene-nada-que-hablar elpais.com/internacional/2019/10/21/america/1571629165_240801.html #BoliviaDecides #EleccionesBo2019