CarwilBJ's avatarCarwilBJ's Twitter Archive—№ 21,222

  1. Rapid results, exit polls in Bolivia point towards a runoff election between Evo Morales and Carlos Mesa. TSE (govt, 84% of voters): Evo 45.3%-Mesa 38.2% TuVotoCuenta: Evo 44.0%-Mesa 38.7% ViaCiencia: Evo 43.9%-Mesa 39.4% #eleccionesBO
    1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
      No doubt that Evo Morales has won most votes in first round, but he needs a 10% advantage to avoid a runoff. He doesn't have it. #eleccionesBO
      1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
        The most sophisticated polling organization this year is Tu Voto Cuenta (tuvotocuenta.org.bo/). Their rapid count vote estimate, based on 95% of precincts is shown here…
        oh my god twitter doesn’t include alt text from images in their API
        1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
          My analysis going into the election is here: woborders.blog/2019/10/15/uncertain-election/
          1. …in reply to @CarwilBJ
            Evo Morales held a press conference and claimed he might win outright in the first round due to uncounted rural votes. @ErbolDigital/1186098248139857920 This is mathematically difficult: he would need a 24.5% lead in the uncounted areas.